Private equity firms prepare for portfolio write downs

Firstly, how "comparable public companies" have been trading, and the valuations of those public businesses. Given the FTSE 100 suffered its biggest quarterly fall in nine years in the third quarter, sliding 13.7pc and wiping £212bn off the value of shares, most of the public company read across is likely to make for grim reading.

Secondly, private equity looks at the last three months of earnings at each business. Although some companies have been resilient, most have seen sales drop off significantly thanks to falling consumer confidence, cuts in government spending and slowing economic growth.

Finally, private equity feeds in data from "discounted cash flow models", which look at future earnings. Insiders say in most cases, forecasts about the next five years of trading will be much more negative this time.

This triage of data affects how private equity firms write up their assets as they prepare to send their quarterly report to investors.

Although this is not when gains or losses are crystallised, assumptions are adopted by investors such as, pension funds, insurance funds, local authorities, banks, and university funds.

Permira, CVC, Cinven and BC Partners are all in the process of tapping – or gearing up to tap – investors for tens of billions of pounds for their new funds. The negative sentiment will make the job of raising money harder for most firms.

According to research from Prequin, there are 1,676 funds currently fund-raising in search of a total of $680bn after the first half of 2011 secured $66bn. But this remains far off from the record $214bn raised in the second quarter of 2007.

With too little capital available and mounting fears over a second global recession, institutional investor opinion has turned dark, predicting that one in five private equity groups will disappear during this decade.

This month, listed private equity firm 3i also warned investors that the value of its portfolio would "inevitably" be lower as a result of falling markets and challenging economic outlook.

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Private equity firms prepare for portfolio write downs
Private equity firms prepare for portfolio write downs

The wave of write downs will have a knock on effect for pension and insurance funds that invest in private equity. It is also likely to make it much harder for the 1676 funds currently vying to raise a total of $680bn (£486bn). BC Partners, Permira



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KKR Said to Weigh Making Offer for Axa's Private-Equity Unit
KKR Said to Weigh Making Offer for Axa's Private-Equity Unit

It holds stakes in US and European buyout funds run by firms including KKR, Blackstone Group LP and BC Partners Ltd. It also invests directly in midsize companies and infrastructure projects in Europe. Axa Private Equity, which employs 251 people in




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